基于中国劳动力动态调查2014年数据，探析了农民工市民化能力对其定居意愿的影响及群体差异，结果表明：农民工市民化能力水平较低，仅为0.347，也只有13.27%的农民工愿意定居城镇；其中，生存能力和发展能力对农民工城镇定居意愿产生显著正向影响，适应能力影响不显著；就群体差异而言，生存能力与发展能力对新一代农民工和异地农民工定居意愿影响更甚，对老一代农民工与本地农民工影响较小。

Based on China Labor Force Dynamic Survey (CLDS) data, the article analyzes the impact of rural migrant workers’ ability to localize their residency in urban areas on their settlement willingness and group differences .The results reveal that rural migrant workers’ ability to localize in the urban areas is as low as 0.347, and only 13.27% of the rural migrant workers are willing to settle in urban areas. Besides, survival ability and development ability exert a significant positive influence on their settlement willingness, but the effect of adaptive ability is inconspicuous.Moreover, in terms of group differences, survival ability and development ability have a greater effect on the settlement willingness of the new generation and off-site rural migrant workers than those old generation and local ones.

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