基于湖南省14个市（州）2011—2021年的面板数据，测算各市（州）新型城镇化水平与粮食综合生产能力，探讨两者的时空耦合协调演化特征及其影响因素。结果表明：研究期间湖南省新型城镇化指数、粮食综合生产能力指数及其耦合协调度均呈现上升趋势，耦合协调关系实现了“轻度失调—勉强协调”的跨越；各市（州）耦合协调度在研究期间皆有较大幅度的提升，除株洲和湘潭基本均衡发展外，大部分市（州）的新型城镇化与粮食综合生产能力发展的进程并不同步，长沙市粮食综合生产能力长期滞后，其他市（州）新型城镇化滞后；土地与劳动力资源、产业结构、城乡收入差距会显著影响两者耦合协调发展。

Based on the panel data of 14 cities (prefectures) in Hunan Province from 2011 to 2021, the new-type urbanization level and the comprehensive grain production capacity of each city (prefecture) have been calculated and their spatio-temporal coupling coordination evolution characteristics and influencing factors have been probed. The results show that the new-type urbanization index, the comprehensive grain production capacity index and the coupling coordination degree of Hunan Province all showed an upward trend during the study period, and the coupling coordination relationship has achieved a leap from mild imbalance to bare coordination. The coupling coordination degree of all cities (prefectures) has greatly improved during the study period. Except the basically balanced development of Zhuzhou and Xiangtan, the new-type urbanization and the development process of comprehensive grain production capacity of most cities (prefectures) were not synchronized. The comprehensive grain production capacity of Changsha has lagged behind for a long time while the new urbanization of other cities (prefectures) has lagged behind. Land and the labor resources, the industrial structure and the urban-rural income gap will significantly affect the coupling and coordinated development of the two.

F326.11

湖南省“研究阐释党的十九届六中全会精神和省第十二次党代会精神”重大招标项目（22ZDA020)