返乡农民工的独立创业与合伙创业在创业绩效方面会不会存在明显差异呢？基于西部地区脱贫县调研获得的828个样本数据，运用Probit模型分析返乡农民工不同创业组织形式对创业绩效的影响及其机制，结果表明：相对于合伙创业，返乡农民工独立创业的创业绩效明显更好。通过加入可能的遗漏变量、倾向得分匹配估计和安慰剂检验等方法，估计结果依然保持稳健。进一步，建立联立方程模型和采用条件混合估计方法（CMP）进行估计后发现，独立创业的返乡农民工为了获得更好的创业绩效，更倾向于选择低门槛的业态进行创业。

Are there some significant differences in entrepreneurial performance between independent entrepreneurship and partnership entrepreneurship of returned migrant workers? Based on 828 sample data obtained from the investigation of the counties out of poverty in western China, the impact of different entrepreneurial organizational forms on entrepreneurial performance and its mechanism of returned migrant workers was analyzed by using Probit model. The results show that the entrepreneurial performance of the independent entrepreneurship of returned migrant workers was obviously higher, compared with that of partnership entrepreneurship. The results of estimation remain the same even by adding possible missing variables, using predisposition score matching estimation and placebo tests. Furthermore, through building simultaneous equations model and using the conditional mixed estimation method (CMP), the estimation shows that in order to obtain higher entrepreneurial performance, returned migrant workers were more inclined to start a business with a low threshold.

F304.6

国家社会科学基金项目（21BJY140）；重庆工商大学专项课题（CTBUESD35）