基于中国社会科学院“中国乡村振兴综合调查”（CRRS）数据，使用Probit模型、PSM检验等方法，分析职业技能培训对农民工市民化意愿的影响及其机制。研究发现：职业技能培训有效提升了农民工市民化意愿，且职业技能培训能够通过促进持续外出务工、非农收入水平增长、家庭土地转出增加提升农民工市民化意愿。异质性分析表明，职业技能培训对提升新生代农民工、中小城市农民工市民化意愿作用更加显著。因此，要加强农民工职业技能培训，强化“培训－就业－定居”一体联动，推动职业技能培训向“精准化”转型，以提升农民工市民化意愿。

Based on data from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences’ China Rural Revitalization Survey (CRRS) this study employs Probit models and Propensity Score Matching (PSM) to examine the impact of vocational skills training onmigrant workers’ citizenization willingness and the mechanisms through which such training operates. The findings indicate that vocational skills training significantly boosts migrant workers’ willingness to undergo citizenization. Specifically, such training boosts this willingness by promoting sustained migrant employment, increasing non-agricultural income levels, and accelerating the transfer of household contracted land. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the positive impact of vocational skills training is more pronounced among the new generation of migrant workers and those residing in small and medium-sized cities. Hence, it is recommended to strengthen vocational skills training for migrant workers, establish an integrated “training-employment-settlement” linkage mechanism, and promote the transition toward more targeted and precision-orientedtraining programs to further enhance migrant workers’ citizenization willingness.

C912.82

国家社会科学基金一般项目（23BSH035）；国家社科基金重点项目（23AJY015）；四川省哲学社会科学基金一般项目（SCJJ24ND079）